Preferentially Biodegradable Gypsum Fibers Endowing Invisible Microporous Structures and Enhancing Osteogenic Capability of Calcium Phosphate Cements.

It is known that hydroxyapatite-type calcium phosphate cement (CPC) shows appreciable self-curing properties, but the phase transformation products often lead to slow biodegradation and disappointing osteogenic responses. Herein, we developed an innovative strategy to endow invisible micropore networks, which could tune the microstructures and biodegradation of α-tricalcium phosphate (α-TCP)-based CPC by gypsum fibers, and the osteogenic capability of the composite cements could be enhanced in vivo. The gypsum fibers were prepared via extruding the gypsum powder/carboxylated chitosan (CC) slurry through a 22G nozzle (410 µm in diameter) and collecting with a calcium salt solution. Then, the CPCs were prepared by mixing the α-TCP powder with gypsum fibers (0-24 wt %) and an aqueous solution to form self-curing cements. The physicochemical characterizations showed that injectability was decreased with an increase in the fiber contents. The µCT reconstruction demonstrated that the gypsum fiber could be distributed in the CPC substrate and produce long-range micropore architectures. In particular, incorporation of gypsum fibers would tune the ion release, produce tunnel-like pore networks in vitro, and promote new bone tissue regeneration in rabbit femoral bone defects in vivo. Appropriate gypsum fibers (16 and 24 wt %) could enhance bone defect repair and cement biodegradation. These results demonstrate that the highly biodegradable cement fibers could mediate the microstructures of conventional CPC biomaterials, and such a bicomponent composite strategy may be beneficial for expanding clinical CPC-based applications.

New insight into biodegradable macropore filler on tuning mechanical properties and bone tissue ingrowth in sparingly dissolvable bioceramic scaffolds.

Structural parameters of the implants such as shape, size, and porosity of the pores have been extensively investigated to promote bone tissue repair, however, it is unknown how the pore interconnectivity affects the bone growth behaviors in the scaffolds. Herein we systematically evaluated the effect of biodegradable bioceramics as a secondary phase filler in the macroporous networks on the mechanical and osteogenic behaviors in sparingly dissolvable bioceramic scaffolds. The pure hardystonite (HT) scaffolds with ∼550 & 800 µm in pore sizes were prepared by digital light processing, and then the Sr-doped calcium silicate (SrCSi) bioceramic slurry without and with 30 % organic porogens were intruded into the HT scaffolds with 800 µm pore size and sintered at 1150 °C. It indicated that the organic porogens could endow spherical micropores in the SrCSi filler, and the invasion of the SrCSi component could not only significantly enhance the compressive strength and modulus of the HT-based scaffolds, but also induce osteogenic differentiation of bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells (BMSCs). The pure HT scaffolds showed extremely slow bio-dissolution in Tris buffer after immersion for 8 weeks (∼1 % mass decay); in contrast, the SrCSi filler would readily dissolve into the aqueous medium and produced a steady mass decay (>6 % mass loss). In vivo experiments in rabbit femoral bone defect models showed that the pure HT scaffolds showed bone tissue ingrowth but the bone growth was impeded in the SrCSi-intruded scaffolds within 4 weeks; however, the group with higher porosity of SrCSi filler showed appreciable osteogenesis after 8 weeks of implantation and the whole scaffold was uniformly covered by new bone tissues after 16 weeks. These findings provide some new insights that the pore interconnectivity is not inevitable to impede bone ingrowth with the prolongation of implantation time, and such a highly biodegradable and bioactive filler intrusion strategy may be beneficial for optimizing the performances of scaffolds in bone regenerative medicine applications.

Microbial phylogenetic divergence between surface-water and sedimentary ecosystems drove the resistome profiles.

Antibiotic pollution and the evolution of antibiotic resistance genes (ARGs) are increasingly viewed as major threats to both ecosystem security and human health, and have drawn attention. This study investigated the fate of antibiotics in aqueous and sedimentary substrates and the impact of ecosystem shifts between water and sedimentary phases on resistome profiles. The findings indicated notable variations in the concentration and distribution patterns of antibiotics across various environmental phases. Based on the partition coefficient (Kd), the total antibiotic concentration was significantly greater in the surface water (1405.45 ng/L; 49.5 %) compared to the suspended particulate matter (Kd = 0.64; 892.59 ng/g; 31.4 %) and sediment (Kd = 0.4; 542.64 ng/g; 19.1 %). However, the relative abundance of ARGs in surface water and sediment was disproportionate to the abundance of antibiotics concentration, and sediments were the predominant ARGs reservoirs. Phylogenetic divergence of the microbial communities between the surface water and the sedimentary ecosystems potentially played important roles in driving the ARGs profiles between the two distinctive ecosystems. ARGs of Clinical importance; including blaGES, MCR-7.1, ermB, tet(34), tet36, tetG-01, and sul2 were significantly increased in the surface water, while blaCTX-M-01, blaTEM, blaOXA10-01, blaVIM, tet(W/N/W), tetM02, and ermX were amplified in the sediments. cfxA was an endemic ARG in surface-water ecosystems while the endemic ARGs of the sedimentary ecosystems included aacC4, aadA9-02, blaCTX-M-04, blaIMP-01, blaIMP-02, bla-L1, penA, erm(36), ermC, ermT-01, msrA-01, pikR2, vgb-01, mexA, oprD, ttgB, and aac. These findings offer a valuable information for the identification of ARGs-specific high-risk reservoirs.

Identical clinical outcomes between neutral and classic targeted alignments after high tibial osteotomy in medial meniscus posterior root tear: a prospective randomized study.

PURPOSE: This study aimed to compare the clinical and radiographic outcomes and arthroscopic findings after high tibial osteotomy (HTO) between neutral and classic targeted coronal alignments in patients with medial meniscus posterior root tears (MMPRTs). METHODS: Ninety-eight patients with MMPRT were prospectively enrolled in the final cohort and randomized into two groups. Fifty-two patients with the targeted alignment through the Fujisawa point (60-62.5% of the entire tibial plateau width measured from the medial side) during HTO were included in group A, whereas 46 patients with the targeted alignment through the point at 50-55% of the tibial plateau width were included in group B. The clinical and radiographic outcomes and second-look arthroscopic findings were statistically compared for comprehensive assessments. RESULTS: After a mean follow-up of 37.1 months, we found no significant differences between the two groups regarding the final Lysholm (p = 0.205) and Hospital for Special Surgery scores (p = 0.084). However, we only observed significant differences between the two groups in terms of the final hip-knee-ankle angle, weight-bearing line ratio, and medial proximal tibial angle (p < 0.001). Second-look arthroscopy did not reveal a significant difference in meniscal healing rate (p = 0.786). CONCLUSIONS: Performing HTO with the aim to achieve neutral alignment leads to similar clinical outcomes in patients with MMPRT compared to classic alignment. Although subsequent research is required, the current study provides clinical evidence for the safety and efficacy of the new targeted alignment during HTO, which may avoid long-term complications associated with overcorrection when using the traditional technique.

Optimized strategy for schistosomiasis elimination: results from marginal benefit modeling.

BACKGROUND: Poverty contributes to the transmission of schistosomiasis via multiple pathways, with the insufficiency of appropriate interventions being a crucial factor. The aim of this article is to provide more economical and feasible intervention measures for endemic areas with varying levels of poverty. METHODS: We collected and analyzed the prevalence patterns along with the cost of control measures in 11 counties over the last 20 years in China. Seven machine learning models, including XGBoost, support vector machine, generalized linear model, regression tree, random forest, gradient boosting machine and neural network, were used for developing model and calculate marginal benefits. RESULTS: The XGBoost model had the highest prediction accuracy with an R2 of 0.7308. Results showed that risk surveillance, snail control with molluscicides and treatment were the most effective interventions in controlling schistosomiasis prevalence. The best combination of interventions was interlacing seven interventions, including risk surveillance, treatment, toilet construction, health education, snail control with molluscicides, cattle slaughter and animal chemotherapy. The marginal benefit of risk surveillance is the most effective intervention among nine interventions, which was influenced by the prevalence of schistosomiasis and cost. CONCLUSIONS: In the elimination phase of the national schistosomiasis program, emphasizing risk surveillance holds significant importance in terms of cost-saving.

Comparison of osteogenic capability of 3D-printed bioceramic scaffolds and granules with different porosities for clinical translation.

Pore parameters, structural stability, and filler morphology of artificial implants are key factors influencing the process of bone tissue repair. However, the extent to which each of these factors contributes to bone formation in the preparation of porous bioceramics is currently unclear, with the two often being coupled. Herein, we prepared magnesium-doped wollastonite (Mg-CSi) scaffolds with 57% and 70% porosity (57-S and 70-S) via a 3D printing technique. Meanwhile, the bioceramic granules (57-G and 70-G) with curved pore topography (IWP) were prepared by physically disrupting the 57-S and 70-S scaffolds, respectively, and compared for in vivo osteogenesis at 4, 10, and 16 weeks. The pore parameters and the mechanical and biodegradable properties of different porous bioceramics were characterized systematically. The four groups of porous scaffolds and granules were then implanted into a rabbit femoral defect model to evaluate the osteogenic behavior in vivo. 2D/3D reconstruction and histological analysis showed that significant bone tissue production was visible in the central zone of porous granule groups at the early stage but bone tissue ingrowth was slower in the porous scaffold groups. The bone tissue regeneration and reconstruction capacity were stronger after 10 weeks, and the porous architecture of the 57-S scaffold was maintained stably at 16 weeks. These experimental results demonstrated that the structure-collapsed porous bioceramic is favorable for early-stage osteoconduction and that the 3D topological scaffolds may provide more structural stability for bone tissue growth for a long-term stage. These findings provide new ideas for the selection of different types of porous bioceramics for clinical bone repair.

[Change in Granulation Potential and Microbial Enrichment Characteristics of Sludge Induced by Microplastics].

Microplastics (MPs), as a new type of pollutant, are widely detected in sewage treatment plants. Currently, research on MPs in traditional sewage treatment systems has mainly been focused on the pollution level and distribution characteristics, with a lack of studying the impact of MPs on the sludge granulation. In order to explore the effect of MPs on the granulation process, a microplastic exposure test was conducted by adding polyethylene terephthalate microplastics (PET-MPs), which are widespread in the environment. The operating performance of the system, extracellular polymeric substance (EPS) composition, and flora enrichment were analyzed on the sludge granulation. The results showed that the exposure of PET-MPs significantly accelerated the sludge granulation process, whereas the increase in EPS content dominated by PN enhanced the sludge surface hydrophobicity; the granulation rate and EPS secretion were proportional to the exposed particle size. Microplastics and EPS secretions synergistically promoted the formation of granular sludge. However, continuous microplastic exposure led to deterioration of the system decontamination performance and inhibited the degradation process of pollutants, with the most negative effect of nitrite nitrogen accumulation under 250 µm PET-MPs exposure, as high as (5.08±0.24) mg·L-1. The high-throughput sequencing revealed that the microbial community diversity fell in the experimental group. The dominant bacteria at the phylum level were Proteobacteria and Bacteroidota on the sludge granulation. Rhodocyclaceae, Sphingomonadaceae, Flavobacteriaceae, and Rhodanobacteraceae promoted flocculation by increasing EPS secretion. The decrease in Comamonadaceae and Chitinophagaceae weakened the ammonia and nitrite oxidation capacity of the system, whereas the decrease in Rhodobacteraceae, Hyphomonadaceae, and Xanthomonadaceae inhibited the removal of nitrate nitrogen.

Correction: Core-shell bioceramic fiber-derived biphasic granules with adjustable core compositions for tuning bone regeneration efficacy.

Correction for 'Core-shell bioceramic fiber-derived biphasic granules with adjustable core compositions for tuning bone regeneration efficacy' by Zhaonan Bao et al., J. Mater. Chem. B, 2023, 11, 2417-2430, https://doi.org/10.1039/D3TB90052E.

Progress towards dog-mediated rabies elimination in PR China: a scoping review.

BACKGROUND: Rabies continues to be a serious threat to global public health endangering people's health and public health safety. In the People's Republic of China, multi-sectoral and comprehensive prevention and control strategies have aimed to extensively curb human rabies transmission. Here, we examine the current state of rabies infection in China, explore strategic interventions put in place in response to WHO's ambition of "Zero rabies deaths by 2030" and critically assess the constraints and feasibility of dog-mediated rabies elimination in China. METHODS: This study analyzed and evaluated the process towards dog-mediated rabies elimination in China from five perspectives: namely, human, dog, policy, challenge, and prospects. Evidence-based data on progress of dog-mediated rabies elimination in China was derived from a number of sources; a literature search was undertaken using PubMed, Web of Science and CNKI databases, distribution data for human rabies cases as derived from the Data-center of the China Public Health Science and policy and document data were obtained from official websites of the relevant China ministries and commissions. RESULTS: The incidence of human rabies cases in China have shown a downward trend year-on-year since 2007. Implementation of a government-led, multi-sectoral "One Health" approach to combating rabies has driven down the total number of rabies deaths nationwide to around 200 in 2020. The number of provincial-level administrative divisions (PLADs) reporting human cases of rabies has also decreased to 21 in 2020, 13 of which reported less than 10 cases. Furthermore, the number of outpatient visits seeking rabies post-exposure prophylaxis has risen dramatically over the past two decades, with demand being 15 times higher than it was initially. There remain however, significant gaps in rabies elimination outcomes across the different regions of China. To date the target of achieving a canine rabies vaccination rate of > 75% has not been met. The challenges of rabies immunization of dogs and dog management in underdeveloped cities and rural areas need to be addressed together with more effective animal surveillance and rabies risk from and too wildlife and livestock. CONCLUSIONS: The Chinese government-led, multi-sectoral "One Health" approach to combating rabies and has made significant progress over the past decade. Development and adoption of more cost-effective One Health strategies can achieve more nationally beneficial rabies elimination outcomes. The ambitious target of "Zero rabies deaths by 2030" can be met through establishment of long-lasting herd immunity in dogs by means of dog mass vaccination campaigns, dog population management, epidemiological surveillance and the application of large-scale oral rabies vaccine to eliminate rabies in wild animals coupled with deployment of cost-effective human post-exposure prophylaxis, and community education.

Hydrochar mediated anaerobic digestion of bio-wastes: Advances, mechanisms and perspectives.

Bio-wastes treatment and disposal has become a challenge because of their increasing output. Given the abundant organic matter in bio-wastes, its related resource treatment methods have received more and more attention. As a promising strategy, anaerobic digestion (AD) has been widely used in the treatment of bio-wastes, during which not only methane as energy can be recovered but also their reduction can be achieved. However, AD process is generally disturbed by some internal factors (e.g., low hydrolysis efficiency and accumulated ammonia) and external factors (e.g., input pollutants), resulting in unstable AD operation performance. Recently, hydrochar was wildly found to improve AD performance when added to AD systems. This review comprehensively summarizes the research progress on the performance of hydrochar-mediated AD, such as increased methane yield, improved operation efficiency and digestate dewatering, and reduced heavy metals in digestate. Subsequently, the underlying mechanisms of hydrochar promoting AD were systematically elucidated and discussed, including regulation of electron transfer (ET) mode, microbial community structure, bio-processes involved in AD, and reaction conditions. Moreover, the effects of properties of hydrochar (e.g., feedstock, hydrothermal carbonization (HTC) temperature, HTC time, modification and dosage) on the improvement of AD performance are systematically concluded. Finally, the relevant knowledge gaps and opportunities to be studied are presented to improve the progress and application of the hydrochar-mediated AD technology. This review aims to offer some references and directions for the hydrochar-mediated AD technology in improving bio-wastes resource recovery.

Bioceramic scaffolds with triply periodic minimal surface architectures guide early-stage bone regeneration.

The pore architecture of porous scaffolds is a critical factor in osteogenesis, but it is a challenge to precisely configure strut-based scaffolds because of the inevitable filament corner and pore geometry deformation. This study provides a pore architecture tailoring strategy in which a series of Mg-doped wollastonite scaffolds with fully interconnected pore networks and curved pore architectures called triply periodic minimal surfaces (TPMS), which are similar to cancellous bone, are fabricated by a digital light processing technique. The sheet-TPMS pore geometries (s-Diamond, s-Gyroid) contribute to a 3‒4-fold higher initial compressive strength and 20%-40% faster Mg-ion-release rate compared to the other-TPMS scaffolds, including Diamond, Gyroid, and the Schoen's I-graph-Wrapped Package (IWP) in vitro. However, we found that Gyroid and Diamond pore scaffolds can significantly induce osteogenic differentiation of bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells (BMSCs). Analyses of rabbit experiments in vivo show that the regeneration of bone tissue in the sheet-TPMS pore geometry is delayed; on the other hand, Diamond and Gyroid pore scaffolds show notable neo-bone tissue in the center pore regions during the early stages (3-5 weeks) and the bone tissue uniformly fills the whole porous network after 7 weeks. Collectively, the design methods in this study provide an important perspective for optimizing the pore architecture design of bioceramic scaffolds to accelerate the rate of osteogenesis and promote the clinical translation of bioceramic scaffolds in the repair of bone defects.

Preoperative Leg Length Discrepancy >2 cm in the Supine Decubitus Position May Induce Compensatory Pelvic Obliquity in Patients during Total Hip Arthroplasty.

OBJECTIVES: The leg length discrepancy (LLD) in the supine decubitus position may influence the inclination angle of the acetabular component during total hip arthroplasty (THA). The relationship among LLD, pelvic obliquity, and inclination angle of the acetabular component has not been well studied. This study aimed to evaluate the relationship between LLD in supine position and changes in the inclination angle of the acetabular components during THA, and the compensatory ability of the pelvis based on LLD and inclination. METHODS: A total of 135 patients were prospectively classified into three groups according to the preoperative LLD in the supine decubitus position: the cranial type group had a positive LLD value; the fixed type group had LLD = 0; and the caudal type group had a negative LLD value. Patients in the cranial type group and caudal type group were divided into four subgroups based on the LLD value (either positive or negative): LLD >3 cm subgroup; 2 ≤ LLD ≤ 3 cm subgroup; 1 ≤ LLD < 2 cm subgroup; and LLD <1 cm subgroup. The targeted and final inclination of the acetabular component was measured intra- and postoperatively. RESULTS: The results showed a significant difference in the targeted and final inclination angles among the patients in the cranial type and the caudal type groups. In the caudal type group, increased inclination was observed in the patients of LLD >3 cm subgroup (mean 3.13°) and 2 ≤ LLD ≤ 3 cm subgroup (mean 5.17°) after THA, respectively. Decreased inclination (mean, 6.16°) was observed in 2 ≤ LLD ≤ 3 cm subgroup in the cranial type group after THA. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings revealed that in patients with discrepancy greater than 2 cm, postural pelvic obliquity imposed a remarkable influence on the inclination.

A triphasic biomimetic BMSC-loaded scaffold for osteochondral integrated regeneration in rabbits and pigs.

Osteochondral tissue involves cartilage, calcified cartilage and subchondral bone. These tissues differ significantly in chemical compositions, structures, mechanical properties and cellular compositions. Therefore, the repairing materials face different osteochondral tissue regeneration needs and rates. In this study, we fabricated an osteochondral tissue-inspired triphasic material, which was composed of a poly(lactide-co-glycolide) (PLGA) scaffold loaded with fibrin hydrogel, bone marrow stromal cells (BMSCs) and transforming growth factor-ß1 (TGF-ß1) for cartilage tissue, a bilayer poly(L-lactide-co-caprolactone) (PLCL)-fibrous membrane loaded with chondroitin sulfate and bioactive glass, respectively, for calcified cartilage, and a 3D-printed calcium silicate ceramic scaffold for subchondral bone. The triphasic scaffold was press-fitted into the osteochondral defects in rabbit (cylindrical defects with a diameter of 4 mm and a depth of 4 mm) and minipig knee joints (cylindrical defects with a diameter of 10 mm and a depth of 6 mm). The µ-CT and histological analysis showed that the triphasic scaffold was partly degraded, and significantly promoted the regeneration of hyaline cartilage after they were implanted in vivo. The superficial cartilage showed good recovery and uniformity. The calcified cartilage layer (CCL) fibrous membrane was in favor of a better cartilage regeneration morphology, a continuous cartilage structure and less fibrocartilage tissue formation. The bone tissue grew into the material, while the CCL membrane limited bone overgrowth. The newly generated osteochondral tissues were well integrated with the surrounding tissues too.

Environmentally relevant level of perfluorooctanoic acid affect the formation of aerobic granular sludge.

The growing increasing occurrence of perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) in wastewater has raised concerns about its potential impact on the environment. Nevertheless, the impact of PFOA at environmentally relevant level on the formation of aerobic granular sludge (AGS) is still a 'black box'. This study thus aims to fill this gap by comprehensive investigation of sludge properties, reactor performance and microbial community during the formation of AGS. It was found that 0.1 mg/L PFOA delayed the formation of AGS, causing relatively lower proportion of large size AGS at the end of operation process. Interestingly, the microorganisms contribute to the reactor's tolerance to PFOA by secreting more extracellular polymeric substances (EPS) to slow or block the entry of toxic substances into the cells. During the granule maturation period, the reactor nutrient removal especially chemical oxygen demand (COD) and total nitrogen (TN) were affected by PFOA, decreasing the corresponding removal efficiencies to ∼81.2% and ∼69.8%, respectively. Microbial analysis further revealed that PFOA decreased the abundances of Plasticicumulans, Thauera, Flavobacterium and Cytophagaceae_uncultured, but it has promoted Zoogloea and Betaproteobacteria_unclassified growth, which maintained the structures and functions of AGS. The above results revealed that the intrinsic mechanism of PFOA on the macroscopic representation of sludge granulation process was revealed, and it is expected to provide theoretical insights and practical support for direct adoption of municipal or industrial wastewater containing perfluorinated compounds to cultivate AGS.

Application of 3D-bioprinted nanocellulose and cellulose derivative-based bio-inks in bone and cartilage tissue engineering.

212Three-dimensional (3D) printing is a modern, computer-aided, design-based technology that allows the layer-by-layer deposition of 3D structures. Bioprinting, a 3D printing technology, has attracted increasing attention because of its capacity to produce scaffolds for living cells with extreme precision. Along with the rapid development of 3D bioprinting technology, the innovation of bio-inks, which is recognized as the most challenging aspect of this technology, has demonstrated tremendous promise for tissue engineering and regenerative medicine. Cellulose is the most abundant polymer in nature. Various forms of cellulose, nanocellulose, and cellulose derivatives, including cellulose ethers and cellulose esters, are common bioprintable materials used to develop bio-inks in recent years, owing to their biocompatibility, biodegradability, low cost, and printability. Although various cellulose-based bio-inks have been investigated, the potential applications of nanocellulose and cellulose derivative-based bio-inks have not been fully explored. This review focuses on the physicochemical properties of nanocellulose and cellulose derivatives as well as the recent advances in bio-ink design for 3D bioprinting of bone and cartilage. In addition, the current advantages and disadvantages of these bio-inks and their prospects in 3D printing-based tissue engineering are comprehensively discussed. We hope to offer helpful information for the logical design of innovative cellulose-based materials for use in this sector in the future.

Core-shell bioceramic fiber-derived biphasic granules with adjustable core compositions for tuning bone regeneration efficacy.

Silicate-based biomaterials-clinically applied fillers and promising candidates-can act as a highly biocompatible substrate for osteostimulative osteogenic cell growth in vitro and in vivo. These biomaterials have been proven to exhibit a variety of conventional morphologies in bone repair, including scaffolds, granules, coatings and cement pastes. Herein, we aim to develop a series of novel bioceramic fiber-derived granules with core-shell structures which have a hardystonite (HT) shell layer and changeable core components-that is, the chemical compositions of a core layer can be tuned to include a wide range of silicate candidates (e.g., wollastonite (CSi)) with doping of functional ions (e.g., Mg, P, and Sr). Meanwhile, it is versatile to control the biodegradation and bioactive ion release sufficiently for stimulating new bone growth after implantation. Our method employs rapidly gelling ultralong core-shell CSi@HT fibers derived from different polymer hydrosol-loaded inorganic powder slurries through the coaxially aligned bilayer nozzles, followed by cutting and sintering treatments. It was demonstrated that the nonstoichiometric CSi core component could contribute to faster bio-dissolution and biologically active ion release in tris buffer in vitro. The rabbit femoral bone defect repair experiments in vivo indicated that core-shell bioceramic granules with an 8% P-doped CSi-core could significantly stimulate osteogenic potential favorable for bone repair. It is worth concluding that such a tunable component distribution strategy in fiber-type bioceramic implants may develop new-generation composite biomaterials endowed with time-dependent biodegradation and high osteostimulative activities for a range of bone repair applications in situ.

Assessing the mechanism of citywide test-trace-isolate Zero-COVID policy and exit strategy of COVID-19 pandemic.

BACKGROUND: Countries that aimed for eliminating the cases of COVID-19 with test-trace-isolate policy are found to have lower infections, deaths, and better economic performance, compared with those that opted for other mitigation strategies. However, the continuous evolution of new strains has raised the question of whether COVID-19 eradication is still possible given the limited public health response capacity and fatigue of the epidemic. We aim to investigate the mechanism of the Zero-COVID policy on outbreak containment, and to explore the possibility of eradication of Omicron transmission using the citywide test-trace-isolate (CTTI) strategy. METHODS: We develop a compartmental model incorporating the CTTI Zero-COVID policy to understand how it contributes to the SARS-CoV-2 elimination. We employ our model to mimic the Delta outbreak in Fujian Province, China, from September 10 to October 9, 2021, and the Omicron outbreak in Jilin Province, China for the period from March 1 to April 1, 2022. Projections and sensitivity analyses were conducted using dynamical system and Latin Hypercube Sampling/ Partial Rank Correlation Coefficient (PRCC). RESULTS: Calibration results of the model estimate the Fujian Delta outbreak can end in 30 (95% confidence interval CI: 28-33) days, after 10 (95% CI: 9-11) rounds of citywide testing. The emerging Jilin Omicron outbreak may achieve zero COVID cases in 50 (95% CI: 41-57) days if supported with sufficient public health resources and population compliance, which shows the effectiveness of the CTTI Zero-COVID policy. CONCLUSIONS: The CTTI policy shows the capacity for the eradication of the Delta outbreaks and also the Omicron outbreaks. Nonetheless, the implementation of radical CTTI is challenging, which requires routine monitoring for early detection, adequate testing capacity, efficient contact tracing, and high isolation compliance, which constrain its benefits in regions with limited resources. Moreover, these challenges become even more acute in the face of more contagious variants with a high proportion of asymptomatic cases. Hence, in regions where CTTI is not possible, personal protection, public health control measures, and vaccination are indispensable for mitigating and exiting the COVID-19 pandemic.

Swiss-Chinese Cooperation in Tropical Medicine: The Role of Professor Marcel Tanner.

This paper is in honour of Professor Marcel Tanner, President of the Swiss Academies of Arts and Sciences, and former Director of the Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute (Swiss TPH), in Basel, Switzerland. In the 30 plus years since his first visit to China in 1989, Professor Tanner has tirelessly promoted research collaboration between Switzerland and China on health and tropical diseases through international meetings, scholar exchange, and training of young scientists. As a contribution to Professor Tanner's life's work of collaboration with Chinese scientists, we summarize here ideas conceived, work initiated and major outcomes. His approach, embodied in his flowery expression: "Alps and Himalayas never meet, but Swiss and Chinese can", marked the occasion in 2013 when Xinhua Co., Ltd., a pharmaceutical company in Shandong of China, agreed to produce tribendimidine, a new remedy for tropical helminth infections, that was the fruit of long-term research by scientists at the Swiss TPH in Basel, and National Institute of Parasitic Diseases (NIPD) in Shanghai. This was neither the first nor the last of Professor Tanner's forceful, yet diplomatic influence, and we follow in his footprints when continuing in Swiss-Chinese cooperation in tropical medicine.

Leveraging mathematical models of disease dynamics and machine learning to improve development of novel malaria interventions.

BACKGROUND: Substantial research is underway to develop next-generation interventions that address current malaria control challenges. As there is limited testing in their early development, it is difficult to predefine intervention properties such as efficacy that achieve target health goals, and therefore challenging to prioritize selection of novel candidate interventions. Here, we present a quantitative approach to guide intervention development using mathematical models of malaria dynamics coupled with machine learning. Our analysis identifies requirements of efficacy, coverage, and duration of effect for five novel malaria interventions to achieve targeted reductions in malaria prevalence. METHODS: A mathematical model of malaria transmission dynamics is used to simulate deployment and predict potential impact of new malaria interventions by considering operational, health-system, population, and disease characteristics. Our method relies on consultation with product development stakeholders to define the putative space of novel intervention specifications. We couple the disease model with machine learning to search this multi-dimensional space and efficiently identify optimal intervention properties that achieve specified health goals. RESULTS: We apply our approach to five malaria interventions under development. Aiming for malaria prevalence reduction, we identify and quantify key determinants of intervention impact along with their minimal properties required to achieve the desired health goals. While coverage is generally identified as the largest driver of impact, higher efficacy, longer protection duration or multiple deployments per year are needed to increase prevalence reduction. We show that interventions on multiple parasite or vector targets, as well as combinations the new interventions with drug treatment, lead to significant burden reductions and lower efficacy or duration requirements. CONCLUSIONS: Our approach uses disease dynamic models and machine learning to support decision-making and resource investment, facilitating development of new malaria interventions. By evaluating the intervention capabilities in relation to the targeted health goal, our analysis allows prioritization of interventions and of their specifications from an early stage in development, and subsequent investments to be channeled cost-effectively towards impact maximization. This study highlights the role of mathematical models to support intervention development. Although we focus on five malaria interventions, the analysis is generalizable to other new malaria interventions.